UCV Moquegua
vs
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Garuda Lions Prediction: UCV Moquegua
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.97.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
| Probability | UCV Moquegua | Draw | Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 30.5% | 26.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.2% | 30.5% | 26.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why UCV Moquegua
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.97.
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas match preview
UCV Moquegua faces Club Deportivo Los Chankas in a matchup that sees UCV Moquegua with a 40% probability of winning, while the chances for a draw stand at 31% and a victory for Los Chankas at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of UCV Moquegua, with an expected goals tally of 1.23 for UCV and 1.01 for Los Chankas.
Recent form shows UCV Moquegua struggling with five consecutive losses, while Club Deportivo Los Chankas has also had a tough run, with only one win in their last six matches. In their last head-to-head encounter, Los Chankas emerged victorious, which may influence the dynamics of this match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack and defence ratings
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV Moquegua | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV Moquegua | 43.2% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | UCV Moquegua win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas stats
UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas recent form
| UCV Moquegua |
LWLLLL |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
LWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas season so far
UCV Moquegua record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
Club Deportivo Los Chankas record
- They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | UCV Moquegua | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.