Atletico Grau
vs
Universitario
Garuda Lions Prediction: Universitario
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Grau vs Universitario
| Probability | Atletico Grau | Draw | Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Universitario
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario match preview
Atletico Grau faces Universitario in the Peru Primera División on October 31, 2026. The model indicates a competitive match, with Atletico Grau holding a 35% probability of winning, while Universitario has a 39% chance. The expected goals suggest a close contest, with Atletico Grau at 1.52 and Universitario slightly ahead at 1.60. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Atletico Grau with mixed results, recording a draw, two losses, a win, and another loss in their last five matches. In contrast, Universitario has performed better, achieving three wins, a draw, and a loss in their recent outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 60%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 63%, indicating an expectation of an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Grau and Universitario expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Atletico Grau and Universitario attack and defence ratings
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Alianza Lima v Cienciano — match page
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar — team news & stats
- Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT
- Alianza Atletico v Juan Pablo II College — match page
- Cusco vs Sport Boys
- UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page
Before and after this match
Atletico Grau vs Universitario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Grau | 35.4% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Universitario | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Atletico Grau vs Universitario stats
Atletico Grau and Universitario recent form
| Atletico Grau |
DLDLWL |
| Universitario |
WWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Grau and Universitario season so far
Atletico Grau record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Universitario record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Universitario | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Universitario | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Atletico Grau | Universitario | Peru Primera División | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.