Universitario
vs
Sport Boys
Garuda Lions Prediction: Universitario
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.04.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Universitario vs Sport Boys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Universitario vs Sport Boys
| Probability | Universitario | Draw | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 23.9% | 18.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.2% | 23.9% | 18.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Universitario
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Universitario vs Sport Boys match preview
Universitario enters this match with a 57% probability of winning, while Sport Boys has a 19% chance of securing victory. The expected goals for Universitario stand at 1.93, compared to Sport Boys' 1.04, indicating a potential advantage for the home side. Recent form shows Universitario with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Sport Boys has managed only one win in the same timeframe.
In their last three encounters, Universitario has dominated with two wins and one draw against Sport Boys, who have yet to win in this matchup. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Universitario and Sport Boys expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Universitario and Sport Boys attack and defence ratings
Universitario
Sport Boys
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima
- FBC Melgar v Comerciantes Unidos — match page
- Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso — team news & stats
- Cienciano vs Atletico Grau
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco — match page
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua — team news & stats
- Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo
- FC Cajamarca v UTC Cajamarca — match page
Before and after this match
Universitario vs Sport Boys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario | 57.2% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Sport Boys | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario win | 34.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.6% |
Universitario vs Sport Boys stats
Universitario and Sport Boys recent form
| Universitario |
WDLWDW |
| Sport Boys |
LLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Universitario and Sport Boys season so far
Universitario record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Boys record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universitario vs Sport Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Sport Boys | Universitario | Peru Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Universitario | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Sport Boys | Universitario | Peru Primera División | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.