Cienciano
vs
Atletico Grau
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cienciano
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cienciano vs Atletico Grau
| Probability | Cienciano | Draw | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.3% | 24.5% | 16.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.3% | 24.5% | 16.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cienciano
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau match preview
Cienciano is favored in their upcoming match against Atletico Grau, with a 59% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Cienciano stand at 1.86, while Atletico Grau is projected to score 0.88. Recent form shows Cienciano with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Atletico Grau has one win, two losses, and two draws in the same period.
Historically, Cienciano has performed well against Atletico Grau, winning two of their last three encounters and drawing the other. The most likely scoreline for this match is 2-0 in favor of Cienciano, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cienciano and Atletico Grau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Cienciano and Atletico Grau attack and defence ratings
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco — match page
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua — team news & stats
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Before and after this match
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cienciano | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cienciano | 59.3% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Atletico Grau | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cienciano win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 40.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.1% |
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau stats
Cienciano and Atletico Grau recent form
| Cienciano |
WWDLLW |
| Atletico Grau |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cienciano and Atletico Grau season so far
Cienciano record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Atletico Grau record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Atletico Grau | Cienciano | Peru Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Cienciano | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Atletico Grau | Cienciano | Peru Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.