Atletico Grau
vs
ADT
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico Grau
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Atletico Grau vs ADT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Grau vs ADT
| Probability | Atletico Grau | Draw | ADT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.4% | 22.8% | 10.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 66.4% | 22.8% | 10.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atletico Grau
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Atletico Grau vs ADT match preview
Atletico Grau is set to face ADT in the Peru Primera División, with a strong probability of winning at 66%. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-0, occurring with a 14% chance. Atletico Grau's expected goals stand at 1.90, while ADT's is significantly lower at 0.64. Recent form shows Atletico Grau with two wins in their last five matches, while ADT has struggled, recording only one win in their last six.
In their last three encounters, Atletico Grau has secured one win against ADT's two victories. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47%, and both teams scoring is projected at 41%. With a confidence grade of C, this matchup presents an intriguing dynamic as both teams seek to improve their standings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Grau and ADT expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Atletico Grau and ADT attack and defence ratings
Atletico Grau
ADT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Grau vs ADT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Grau | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Grau win | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Grau | 66.4% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| ADT | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.3% |
| No | 58.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Grau win | 41.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 33.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.6% |
Atletico Grau vs ADT stats
Atletico Grau and ADT recent form
| Atletico Grau |
DLWLWW |
| ADT |
LDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Grau and ADT season so far
Atletico Grau record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
ADT record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Grau vs ADT head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | ADT | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Atletico Grau | ADT | Peru Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | ADT | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.