FC Cajamarca
vs
UTC Cajamarca
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Cajamarca
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.04.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca
| Probability | FC Cajamarca | Draw | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.0% | 20.7% | 15.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.0% | 20.7% | 15.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Cajamarca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca match preview
FC Cajamarca is favored in their upcoming match against UTC Cajamarca, with a 65% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for FC Cajamarca stand at 2.27, while UTC Cajamarca is projected to score 1.01. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows FC Cajamarca with a mixed record of L-D-L-W-L-W, while UTC Cajamarca has struggled significantly, losing their last six matches. The probabilities indicate a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 58%. In their last head-to-head encounter, FC Cajamarca secured a victory, further emphasizing their current advantage.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca attack and defence ratings
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco — match page
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Before and after this match
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cajamarca | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cajamarca win | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cajamarca | 64.0% |
| Draw | 20.7% | |
| UTC Cajamarca | 15.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cajamarca win | 42.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 36.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca stats
FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca recent form
| FC Cajamarca |
LDLWLW |
| UTC Cajamarca |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca season so far
FC Cajamarca record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).
UTC Cajamarca record
- They have won 4 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | UTC Cajamarca | FC Cajamarca | Peru Primera División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.