Cusco
vs
Sport Boys
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cusco
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cusco vs Sport Boys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cusco vs Sport Boys
| Probability | Cusco | Draw | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.6% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cusco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Cusco vs Sport Boys match preview
Cusco is set to face Sport Boys in the Peru Primera División, with a probability of 51% for a Cusco victory, while a draw stands at 25% and Sport Boys at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Cusco, occurring with a 10% likelihood. The model suggests a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% probability that both teams will score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.82 for Cusco and 1.21 for Sport Boys.
In terms of recent form, Cusco has recorded a mixed set of results with three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Sport Boys has two wins, two losses, and one draw in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Cusco with two wins and Sport Boys with one win in their last three encounters. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cusco and Sport Boys expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Cusco and Sport Boys attack and defence ratings
Cusco
Sport Boys
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Alianza Lima v Cienciano — match page
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar — team news & stats
- Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT
- Alianza Atletico v Juan Pablo II College — match page
- Atletico Grau vs Universitario — team news & stats
- UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page
Before and after this match
Cusco vs Sport Boys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cusco | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cusco | 50.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Sport Boys | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% |
| No | 40.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cusco win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Cusco vs Sport Boys stats
Cusco and Sport Boys recent form
| Cusco |
WLLWLW |
| Sport Boys |
WLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cusco and Sport Boys season so far
Cusco record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 9 penalties (56%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Boys record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Cusco vs Sport Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sport Boys | Cusco | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Cusco | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Sport Boys | Cusco | Peru Primera División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.