Comerciantes Unidos
vs
ADT
Garuda Lions Prediction: Comerciantes Unidos
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT
| Probability | Comerciantes Unidos | Draw | ADT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.2% | 19.2% | 11.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.2% | 19.2% | 11.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Comerciantes Unidos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.87.
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT match preview
Comerciantes Unidos are favored to win against ADT with a 63% probability according to our model, while a draw stands at 22% and ADT at 15%. The expected goals for Comerciantes Unidos is 2.07, compared to ADT's 0.92, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, with an 11% chance of occurring.
In terms of recent form, Comerciantes Unidos have struggled, recording three losses and two draws in their last six matches. ADT's recent performances show a mix of results, with one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 58%, while both teams scoring is at 54%, suggesting a potentially dynamic match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Comerciantes Unidos and ADT expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Comerciantes Unidos and ADT attack and defence ratings
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso — team news & stats
- Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca
- Alianza Lima v Cienciano — match page
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar — team news & stats
- Alianza Atletico v Juan Pablo II College — match page
- Atletico Grau vs Universitario — team news & stats
- Cusco vs Sport Boys
- UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page
Before and after this match
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comerciantes Unidos | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Comerciantes Unidos win | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comerciantes Unidos | 69.2% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| ADT | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Comerciantes Unidos win | 47.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 30.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.1% |
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT stats
Comerciantes Unidos and ADT recent form
| Comerciantes Unidos |
WLDLLD |
| ADT |
DLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Comerciantes Unidos and ADT season so far
Comerciantes Unidos record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ADT record
- They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | ADT | Comerciantes Unidos | Peru Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Comerciantes Unidos | ADT | Peru Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-11 | ADT | Comerciantes Unidos | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.