Auriense
vs
Deportivo La Coruna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna
| Probability | Auriense | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 29.2% | 48.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.7% | 29.2% | 48.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo La Coruna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.92.
Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Auriense faces Deportivo La Coruna, with the model assigning a 23% probability of an Auriense victory, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 48% likelihood of a Deportivo La Coruna win. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Expected goals suggest Auriense may score 0.96 while Deportivo La Coruna is projected to net 1.47.
Recent form shows Auriense with a win and a loss in their last two matches, while Deportivo La Coruna has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. The model indicates a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% likelihood that both teams will score, reflecting a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings
Auriense
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auriense | 22.7% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo La Coruna win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna stats
Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna recent form
| Auriense | LW |
| Deportivo La Coruna |
DLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.