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Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna

0 – 3 Full time

8′N. Gonzalez Rodriguez
45′J. Asp
46′A. FernandezR. Gallego
57′J. Asp
62′R. RodriguezLusimi Cruz
62′N. CarrilloM. Ochoa
62′K. SanchezY. Gonzalez
62′BaldoJ. Pineiro
63′PeralX. Fernandez
71′A. TraoreD. Mella
74′Massi
77′CharlyJoel Rodriguez
80′D. Villares YanezR. Lopez
80′F. Mendez GonzalesA. Blanco Gonzalez
85′Lusimi Cruz

Estadio de O Couto

Auriense 8%
Draw 11%
Deportivo La Coruna 81%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAurienseDrawDeportivo La Coruna
Model22.5%28.0%49.5%
Market2.7%5.5%91.8%
Final7.7%11.1%81.2%
Edge+4.9%+5.6%-10.6%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Deportivo La Coruna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.95.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Auriense ↓ / Deportivo La C → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 10% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals

Auriense 0.95
Deportivo La Coruna 1.57

Total expected goals: 2.52

Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings

Auriense

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna: result vs prediction

Auriense 0 – 3 Deportivo La Coruna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo La Coruna 81.2% 1.23 -10.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.3% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Auriense7.7%
Draw11.1%
Deportivo La Coruna81.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.0%
Under 2.554.0%
Both teams to scoreYes50.1%
No49.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)18.8%
12 (either side)88.9%
X2 (draw or away)92.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo La Coruna win27.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss49.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
0-111.3%
0-29.7%

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna stats

Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna recent form

newest first
Auriense LW
Deportivo La Coruna LDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.7%, draw 5.5%, away 91.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 28.00 17.00 1.02
Bet365 34.00 21.00 1.01
Betano 30.00 11.25 1.01
Dafabet 70.00 25.00 1.01
William Hill 41.00 17.00 1.02

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.