Obolon'-Brovar
vs
Kryvbas KR
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kryvbas KR
0 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR
| Probability | Obolon'-Brovar | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.5% | 25.2% | 55.3% |
| Market | 30.5% | 28.7% | 40.8% |
| Final | 27.7% | 27.8% | 44.5% |
| Edge | -11.0% | -3.5% | +14.5% |
Why Kryvbas KR
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kryvbas KR below the model: +14.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR match preview
Obolon'-Brovar faces Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine Premier League with kickoff scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 10:00 UTC. According to our model, Obolon'-Brovar has a 28% chance of winning, while Kryvbas KR is favored at 44%, with a draw also at 28%. The expected goals for Obolon'-Brovar stand at 1.00, compared to Kryvbas KR's 1.81. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.
In terms of recent form, Obolon'-Brovar has recorded a series of draws and losses, with their latest results being D-L-L-D-D-D. Kryvbas KR, meanwhile, has shown mixed results, with one win in their last six matches, including L-D-L-D-W-L. Our model indicates a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Obolon'-Brovar and Kryvbas KR expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Obolon'-Brovar and Kryvbas KR attack and defence ratings
Obolon'-Brovar
Kryvbas KR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kryvbas KR | 44.5% | 2.25 | +14.5% | 2.33 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Obolon'-Brovar | 27.7% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Kryvbas KR | 44.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kryvbas KR win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 0-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-1 | 9.9% |
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR stats
Obolon'-Brovar and Kryvbas KR recent form
| Obolon'-Brovar |
DLLDDD |
| Kryvbas KR |
LDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Obolon'-Brovar and Kryvbas KR season so far
Obolon'-Brovar record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
Kryvbas KR record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Obolon'-Brovar | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kryvbas KR | Obolon'-Brovar | Ukraine Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Kryvbas KR | Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Obolon'-Brovar | Kryvbas KR | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Kryvbas KR | Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-28 | Obolon'-Brovar | Kryvbas KR | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-01 | Obolon'-Brovar | Kryvbas KR | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
| 2015-11-22 | Obolon'-Brovar | Kryvbas KR | Persha Liga | 2-3 |
| 2015-08-08 | Kryvbas KR | Obolon'-Brovar | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.5%, draw 28.7%, away 40.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.22 | 2.22 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04 | 3.17 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .