Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
Deportivo Maldonado
vs
Juventud
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | R. Cesar | ||
| 33′ | M. Garcia | ||
| 44′ | S. Assis | ||
| 45′ | C. Tabo | ||
| 56′ | M. GarciaD. Daguerre | ||
| 56′ | A. de LucaB. Lozano | ||
| 62′ | G. LarrazabalC. Bolzan | ||
| 62′ | S. RamirezC. Mayada | ||
| 62′ | S. CartagenaL. Ibanez | ||
| 73′ | R. CesarL. Nunez | ||
| 80′ | F. Tealde | ||
| 82′ | S. AssisL. Piriz | ||
| 82′ | A. SegoviaPipe | ||
| 85′ | C. TaboG. Sosa | ||
| 89′ | C. Bolzan | ||
| 90′ | A. PiegasN. Bertocchi | ||
| 90′ | L. Piriz |
Deportivo Maldonado
53%
Draw
28%
Juventud
20%
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud
| Probability | Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Juventud |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.7% | 32.7% | 22.6% |
| Market | 55.3% | 26.1% | 18.6% |
| Final | 52.7% | 27.7% | 19.6% |
| Edge | -10.6% | +6.6% | +4.0% |
Why Deportivo Maldonado
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.78.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Deportivo Maldonado and Juventud expected goals
Deportivo Maldonado
1.20
Juventud
0.78
Total expected goals: 1.98
Deportivo Maldonado and Juventud attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maldonado
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Juventud
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maldonado 2 – 0 Juventud
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 52.7% | 1.90 | -10.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 52.7% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Juventud | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.1% |
| No | 60.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maldonado win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 0-0 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud stats
Deportivo Maldonado and Juventud recent form
| Deportivo Maldonado |
LWLDWD |
| Juventud |
DDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maldonado and Juventud going into this match
Deportivo Maldonado record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juventud record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
1Deportivo Maldonado wins
2Draws
4Juventud wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Juventud | Deportivo Maldonado | Uruguay Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2018-07-28 | Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2018-03-03 | Juventud | Deportivo Maldonado | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2012-02-25 | Juventud | Deportivo Maldonado | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2011-10-01 | Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | Segunda División | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 26.0%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.48 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.48 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.75 | 5.12 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.65 ▼ -0.01
X
3.49 ▼ -0.01
2
4.90 —
4 snapshots recorded, from .