Mirassol
vs
Internacional
2 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | Matheus Cunha | ||
| 17′ | Alexandro BernabéiKauan Jesus Santos Oliveira | ||
| 43′ | Vitinho | ||
| 45′ | Neto Moura | ||
| 45′ | AlerrandroFelix Torres | ||
| 45′ | Neto MouraAlesson dos Santos Batista | ||
| 48′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve | ||
| 57′ | Bruno Gomes | ||
| 59′ | José Carlos Ferreira Júniorjoao victor | ||
| 60′ | Matheus BahiaJohan Carbonero | ||
| 61′ | Rodrigo Villagra | ||
| 68′ | Edson CariocaFernandinho | ||
| 68′ | Denilson Alves BorgesWallisson | ||
| 74′ | Bruno Santos de OliveiraAndré Luis | ||
| 77′ | André Luis | ||
| 79′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveChico Kim | ||
| 81′ | Johan Carbonero | ||
| 82′ | Thiago MaiaJoão Bezerra | ||
| 87′ | André Luis | ||
| 89′ | Gabriel Mercado | ||
| 90′ | Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 549 | Accurate passes | 303 |
Mirassol vs Internacional overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mirassol vs Internacional
| Probability | Mirassol | Draw | Internacional |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 30.8% | 25.4% |
| Market | 44.0% | 27.7% | 28.3% |
| Final | 43.9% | 28.5% | 27.6% |
| Edge | -0.0% | +0.8% | -0.7% |
Why Mirassol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mirassol and Internacional expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Mirassol and Internacional attack and defence ratings
Mirassol
Internacional
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mirassol vs Internacional: result vs prediction
Mirassol 2 – 0 Internacional
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mirassol vs Internacional markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirassol | 43.9% | 2.28 | -0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirassol | 43.9% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Internacional | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mirassol win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Mirassol vs Internacional stats
Mirassol and Internacional recent form
| Mirassol |
LDWDWL |
| Internacional |
DWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mirassol and Internacional going into this match
Mirassol record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional record
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mirassol vs Internacional head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Internacional | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-15 | Mirassol | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Internacional | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mirassol vs Internacional odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 27.7%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.53 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.42 | 3.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.44 | 3.49 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .