Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 14
Santa Fe
vs
Bucaramanga
2 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 47′ | C. Romana | ||
| 55′ | H. Rodallega | ||
| 63′ | F. Sambueza | ||
| 67′ | F. SambuezaK. Londono | ||
| 67′ | F. CharrupiL. Flores | ||
| 69′ | J. ObrianO. Fernandez | ||
| 69′ | E. RodriguezL. Palacios | ||
| 73′ | I. R. Scarpeta Silgado | ||
| 80′ | L. Pons | ||
| 83′ | E. Olivera | ||
| 85′ | J. TorresA. Zapata | ||
| 85′ | D. TorresK. D. Toscano Bassa | ||
| 85′ | E. BatallaN. Castrillon | ||
| 87′ | P. Peirano | ||
| 88′ | M. PuertaM. Lovera | ||
| 89′ | L. PonsM. Rea | ||
| 89′ | A. GutierrezA. Zarate | ||
| 90′ | L. Palacios |
Santa Fe
47%
Draw
29%
Bucaramanga
24%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 309 | Accurate passes | 371 |
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga
| Probability | Santa Fe | Draw | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 31.6% | 27.6% |
| Market | 49.0% | 27.7% | 23.3% |
| Final | 47.0% | 28.7% | 24.3% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.0% | +1.1% |
Why Santa Fe
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Santa Fe and Bucaramanga expected goals
Santa Fe
1.22
Bucaramanga
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.18
Santa Fe and Bucaramanga attack and defence ratings
Santa Fe
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Bucaramanga
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga: result vs prediction
Santa Fe 2 – 1 Bucaramanga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas
- Once Caldas vs Llaneros
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Junior v Internacional de Bogota — match page
- Jaguares v Deportes Tolima — match page
- Chico v Cucuta — match page
- America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 47.0% | 2.13 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 47.0% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Bucaramanga | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 12.5% |
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga stats
Santa Fe and Bucaramanga recent form
| Santa Fe |
WLWWLW |
| Bucaramanga |
LDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santa Fe and Bucaramanga going into this match
Santa Fe record
- They have won 15 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 37 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Bucaramanga record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Santa Fe wins
3Draws
4Bucaramanga wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-09 | Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-19 | Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | Copa Colombia | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-08 | Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-16 | Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 3-2 |
| 2024-06-09 | Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-15 | Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | Copa Colombia | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 27.7%, away 23.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.30 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.42 | 4.19 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.01 | 3.48 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 —
X
3.35 ▲ +0.05
2
3.99 ▼ -0.01
6 snapshots recorded, from .