Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
Santa Fe
vs
Jaguares
2 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 12′ | C. MaflaM. Puerta | ||
| 56′ | J. TorresK. D. Toscano Bassa | ||
| 56′ | E. RodriguezA. Zapata | ||
| 61′ | J. Lovera | ||
| 63′ | J. BeltranJopito | ||
| 63′ | R. R. Colpa BolanoJ. Yanez | ||
| 69′ | W. De La RosaD. Lopez | ||
| 69′ | J. LoveraJ. Malagon | ||
| 74′ | D. TorresL. Palacios | ||
| 74′ | J. ObrianO. Fernandez | ||
| 77′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 81′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 84′ | J. MejiaS. Cubides | ||
| 90′ | A. Renteria | ||
| 90′ | O. Fernandez |
Santa Fe
70%
Draw
19%
Jaguares
11%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 305 | Accurate passes | 311 |
Santa Fe vs Jaguares overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santa Fe vs Jaguares
| Probability | Santa Fe | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.0% | 21.8% | 13.2% |
| Market | 71.5% | 18.5% | 10.0% |
| Final | 69.9% | 19.3% | 10.8% |
| Edge | -1.6% | +0.8% | +0.8% |
Why Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
6%
Santa Fe and Jaguares expected goals
Santa Fe
2.07
Jaguares
0.84
Total expected goals: 2.90
Santa Fe and Jaguares attack and defence ratings
Santa Fe
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Jaguares
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.56 +56%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Santa Fe vs Jaguares: result vs prediction
Santa Fe 2 – 1 Jaguares
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Santa Fe vs Jaguares markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 69.9% | 1.43 | -1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 69.9% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| Jaguares | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 41.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.7% |
| 1-1 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 10.4% |
Santa Fe vs Jaguares stats
Santa Fe and Jaguares recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santa Fe and Jaguares going into this match
Santa Fe record
- They have won 14 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Jaguares record
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Santa Fe vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Santa Fe wins
2Draws
3Jaguares wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-15 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-20 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-27 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-17 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 4-0 |
| 2021-10-28 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2021-02-08 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2020-10-13 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santa Fe vs Jaguares odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.5%, draw 18.6%, away 9.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.31 | 4.55 | 11.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 5.05 | 9.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.40 | 10.00 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.05 | 9.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.31 | 9.39 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.51 | 6.38 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.30 ▼ -0.04
X
5.03 ▲ +0.28
2
9.32 ▲ +0.72
21 snapshots recorded, from .