Santa Fe
vs
Jaguares
Garuda Lions Prediction: Santa Fe
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Santa Fe vs Jaguares overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santa Fe vs Jaguares
| Probability | Santa Fe | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Santa Fe vs Jaguares match preview
Santa Fe enters the match against Jaguares with a strong probability of winning at 67%. Their recent form shows three wins in their last six matches, indicating a competitive edge. In contrast, Jaguares has struggled, with no wins in their last six games, recording three draws and three losses. The expected goals suggest Santa Fe is likely to dominate offensively, with an expected 2.08 goals compared to Jaguares' 0.76.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Santa Fe, with a 13% chance of occurring. There is a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. Historically, Santa Fe has a slight advantage in their last ten encounters, winning five times compared to Jaguares' three victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Santa Fe and Jaguares expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Santa Fe and Jaguares attack and defence ratings
Santa Fe
Jaguares
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
Before and after this match
Santa Fe vs Jaguares markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | 1.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 67.2% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Jaguares | 11.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 43.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Santa Fe vs Jaguares stats
Santa Fe and Jaguares recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santa Fe and Jaguares season so far
Santa Fe record
- They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Jaguares record
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Santa Fe vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-15 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-20 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-27 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-17 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 4-0 |
| 2021-10-28 | Santa Fe | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2021-02-08 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2020-10-13 | Jaguares | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santa Fe vs Jaguares odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.0%, draw 20.7%, away 10.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.31 | 4.55 | 11.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 4.60 | 8.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.50 | 8.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.35 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 4.64 | 9.74 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.33 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .