Alemannia Aachen
vs
Preußen Münster
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alemannia Aachen
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.35.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster
| Probability | Alemannia Aachen | Draw | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 22.3% | 22.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.1% | 22.3% | 22.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Alemannia Aachen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster match preview
Alemannia Aachen hosts Preußen Münster in a 3. Liga clash on November 1, 2026. According to our model, Alemannia Aachen has a 55% probability of winning, while Preußen Münster stands at 23%, with a 22% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Alemannia Aachen are 2.16, compared to 1.35 for Preußen Münster, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Alemannia Aachen, with a probability of 9%.
Recent form shows Alemannia Aachen with two wins, followed by two losses and one win, while Preußen Münster has one win, two losses, and two draws in their last five matches. Our model indicates a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 66%, indicating an engaging encounter ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster attack and defence ratings
Alemannia Aachen
Preußen Münster
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page
- Verl vs SV Wehen
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 55.1% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Preußen Münster | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster stats
Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster recent form
| Alemannia Aachen |
WWLLWL |
| Preußen Münster |
WLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster season so far
Alemannia Aachen record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preußen Münster record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.