DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 32

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg

6 – 1 Full time

10′Michael Olise
15′Mateusz Zukowski
21′Ismael Saibari
45′Serge GnabryAlphonso Davies
50′Michael Olise
63′Alexander NollenbergerHerbert Bockhorn
63′Felipe ChávezFalko Michel
68′Konrad LaimerAleksandar Pavlović
68′Michael OliseSacha Boey
70′Alphonso Davies
73′Nathaniel Brown
75′Ismael SaibariTim Binder
75′Emmanuel IyohaMagnus Elias Walther Baars
75′Luka HyryläinenLeon Mergner
80′Falko Michel
82′Tom BischofDavid Daiber
84′Nathaniel Brown
85′Torben MüselRichmond Tachie
86′Garcia MacNulty
89′Aleksandar Pavlović
90′Pierre Nadjombe
90′David Daiber

Allianz Arena, MunichReferee: Harm Osmers

Bayern Munich 73%
Draw 9%
1. FC Magdeburg 18%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 0
7 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2
1 Saves 2
674 Accurate passes 363

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBayern MunichDraw1. FC Magdeburg
Model16.7%20.6%62.7%
Market91.2%5.7%3.1%
Final72.6%9.4%18.0%
Edge-18.6%+3.7%+14.9%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bayern Munich ↓ / 1. FC Magdebur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 6% 6% 1 9% 10% 7% 7% 2 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Bayern Munich and 1. FC Magdeburg expected goals

Bayern Munich 1.17
1. FC Magdeburg 2.31

Total expected goals: 3.48

Bayern Munich and 1. FC Magdeburg attack and defence ratings

Bayern Munich

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.76 -24%

1. FC Magdeburg

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg: result vs prediction

Bayern Munich 6 – 1 1. FC Magdeburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bayern Munich 72.6% 1.38 -18.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.1% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 90.6% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 82.7% 1.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bayern Munich72.6%
Draw9.4%
1. FC Magdeburg18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.1%
Under 2.532.9%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)90.6%
X2 (draw or away)27.4%
Handicap -1Bayern Munich win6.9%
Push (exactly one goal)10.4%
Loss82.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.6%
1-19.2%
0-28.5%

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg stats

Bayern Munich and 1. FC Magdeburg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 91.2%, draw 5.7%, away 3.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.06 16.50 34.00
Bet365 1.04 17.00 23.00
BetVictor 1.04 11.50 23.00
Betano 1.05 17.50 28.00
Betfair 1.03 13.00 26.00
Dafabet 1.05 17.00 40.00
Marathonbet 1.06 17.25 34.00
Pinnacle 1.04 17.97 40.13
SBO 1.04 12.04 22.12
William Hill 1.05 13.00 34.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.04 ▲ +0.01
X 16.75 ▲ +0.25
2 31.00 ▼ -10.00

16 snapshots recorded, from .