Juve Stabia
vs
Verona
Garuda Lions Prediction: Verona
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Verona is the favourite, not a value bet.
Juve Stabia vs Verona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juve Stabia vs Verona
| Probability | Juve Stabia | Draw | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.3% | 26.4% | 30.3% |
| Market | 32.6% | 28.5% | 39.0% |
| Final | 35.2% | 28.0% | 36.8% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.5% | -2.2% |
Why Verona
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (our 36.8% × 2.43 − 1).
Juve Stabia vs Verona match preview
Juve Stabia faces Verona in an intriguing Serie B matchup on October 28, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for a win are 35% for Juve Stabia, 28% for a draw, and 37% for Verona. The expected goals are 1.63 for Juve Stabia and 1.33 for Verona, indicating a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring with a 7% probability.
Both teams have displayed mixed recent form, with Juve Stabia recording one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Verona has secured two wins, two losses, and one draw. Our model suggests a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score, further emphasizing the potential for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juve Stabia and Verona expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Juve Stabia and Verona attack and defence ratings
Juve Stabia
Verona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juve Stabia vs Verona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 36.8% | 2.72 | -2.2% | 2.43 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juve Stabia | 35.2% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Verona | 36.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verona win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 69.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Juve Stabia vs Verona stats
Juve Stabia and Verona recent form
| Juve Stabia |
WDDDLW |
| Verona |
DLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juve Stabia and Verona season so far
Juve Stabia record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verona record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juve Stabia vs Verona head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Juve Stabia vs Verona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.6%, draw 28.5%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.25 | 2.39 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.35 | 2.43 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .