Sampdoria
vs
Virtus Entella
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sampdoria
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sampdoria is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella
| Probability | Sampdoria | Draw | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.5% | 30.4% | 43.1% |
| Market | 44.2% | 29.0% | 26.8% |
| Final | 39.8% | 29.4% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +0.3% | +4.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.5% per unit staked (our 39.8% × 2.10 − 1).
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella match preview
Sampdoria and Virtus Entella face off in a Serie B clash, with Sampdoria holding a 40% probability of winning, while Virtus Entella has a 31% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Sampdoria, occurring at an 8% probability. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Sampdoria recording two draws and four losses in their last six matches, while Virtus Entella has secured two wins and four draws in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Sampdoria is projected to score 0.98, while Virtus Entella is expected to net 1.32. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41%, and there is a 47% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record shows Sampdoria with no wins, one draw, and one loss against Virtus Entella in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sampdoria and Virtus Entella expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Sampdoria and Virtus Entella attack and defence ratings
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 39.8% | 2.51 | -4.4% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 39.8% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Virtus Entella | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sampdoria win | 10.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 73.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella stats
Sampdoria and Virtus Entella recent form
| Sampdoria |
DLLWLL |
| Virtus Entella |
LWDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sampdoria and Virtus Entella season so far
Sampdoria record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Virtus Entella record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Sampdoria | Virtus Entella | Italy Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Virtus Entella | Sampdoria | Italy Serie B | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 29.0%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.47 |