Le Mans
vs
Toulouse
0 – 3 Full time
| 46′ | Jacen Russell-Rowe | ||
| 49′ | Jacen Russell-Rowe | ||
| 59′ | Aron Dønnum | ||
| 61′ | Yasser LarouciLucas Calodat | ||
| 61′ | Dame GueyeHabib Diallo | ||
| 61′ | Daouda TraoreBilal Brahimi | ||
| 64′ | Aron DønnumAlexis Vossah | ||
| 69′ | Lucas BuadesRayan Bamba | ||
| 76′ | Jacen Russell-RoweJulián Vignolo | ||
| 77′ | Harold VoyerNoa Boissé | ||
| 85′ | Rasmus NicolaisenSeny Koumbassa | ||
| 87′ | Casper Tengstedt | ||
| 90′ | Samuel Yohou | ||
| 90′ | Djibril Sidibé |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 489 | Accurate passes | 450 |
Le Mans vs Toulouse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Le Mans vs Toulouse
| Probability | Le Mans | Draw | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 22.3% | 28.1% |
| Market | 30.7% | 26.2% | 43.1% |
| Final | 35.4% | 25.3% | 39.3% |
| Edge | +4.7% | -1.0% | -3.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Le Mans and Toulouse expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Le Mans and Toulouse attack and defence ratings
Le Mans
Toulouse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Le Mans vs Toulouse: result vs prediction
Le Mans 0 – 3 Toulouse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Le Mans vs Toulouse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Toulouse | 39.3% | 2.54 | -3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Mans | 35.4% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Toulouse | 39.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Toulouse win | 12.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 71.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 6.8% |
Le Mans vs Toulouse stats
Le Mans and Toulouse recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Le Mans and Toulouse going into this match
Le Mans record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Toulouse record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Le Mans vs Toulouse head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Le Mans vs Toulouse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 26.6%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.21 | 3.70 | 2.31 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.64 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.68 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .