Sarpsborg 08 FF
vs
Valerenga
3 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | Camil Mmaee | ||
| 41′ | Camil Mmaee | ||
| 46′ | G. RajkovicD. Gjengaar | ||
| 49′ | Camil Mmaee | ||
| 59′ | D. Gjengaar | ||
| 63′ | C. NiyukuriS. Sorli | ||
| 63′ | Camil MmaeeP. Reinhardsen | ||
| 65′ | D. Gjengaar | ||
| 69′ | D. Karlsbakk | ||
| 70′ | F. AmbinaM. Grundetjern | ||
| 70′ | V. HedenstadL. Haren | ||
| 72′ | M. Westergaard | ||
| 72′ | N. WilliamsO. Skarsem | ||
| 73′ | M. LodeB. Utvik | ||
| 80′ | M. WestergaardG. Zahid | ||
| 80′ | H. NielsenO. Saeter | ||
| 85′ | A. NibeV. E. Halvorsen | ||
| 88′ | D. Karlsbakk |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga
| Probability | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Draw | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.8% | 19.8% | 68.4% |
| Market | 48.8% | 23.6% | 27.6% |
| Final | 39.6% | 22.6% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -9.2% | -0.9% | +10.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga attack and defence ratings
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga: result vs prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 – 2 Valerenga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 39.6% | 2.53 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 39.6% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Valerenga | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sarpsborg 08 FF win | 3.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 8.0% | |
| Loss | 88.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.4% |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga stats
Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga recent form
| Sarpsborg 08 FF |
WLWWLD |
| Valerenga |
WWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Valerenga | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Valerenga | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs | 5-3 |
| 2023-11-05 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Valerenga | Eliteserien | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2023-01-27 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Valerenga | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 23.6%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.85 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 4.00 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.88 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 4.04 | 3.69 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.70 | 3.22 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .