Torino
vs
Como
Garuda Lions Prediction: Como
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.61.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Como is the favourite, not a value bet.
Torino vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torino vs Como
| Probability | Torino | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 24.6% | 46.8% |
| Market | 21.1% | 25.3% | 53.6% |
| Final | 23.0% | 25.1% | 51.9% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
Why Como
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.61.
Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.0% per unit staked (our 51.9% × 1.83 − 1).
Torino vs Como match preview
Torino faces Como in an intriguing Serie A matchup, with Como holding a significant edge in recent head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last four meetings. The current form shows Torino with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Como has secured four wins in their recent outings. Our model predicts a close contest, favoring Como with a 52% probability of winning, while Torino stands at 23% and a draw at 25%.
The expected goals suggest a competitive game, with Torino projected to score 1.65 and Como 2.03. There is a strong likelihood of goals, with 71% probability for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-2, indicating a potential victory for Como.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torino and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Torino and Como attack and defence ratings
Torino
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Torino vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 51.9% | 1.93 | -1.7% | 1.83 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 23.0% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Como | 51.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% |
| No | 28.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Torino vs Como stats
Torino and Como recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Torino and Como season so far
Torino record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Como record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Torino vs Como head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Como | Torino | Serie A | 6-0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Torino | Como | Serie A | 1-5 |
| 2025-04-13 | Como | Torino | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Torino | Como | Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Torino vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.0%, draw 25.2%, away 53.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 3.86 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.78 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 4.89 | 3.55 | 1.76 |
| SBO | 4.04 | 3.52 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .