Frosinone
vs
Torino
Garuda Lions Prediction: Frosinone
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Frosinone is the favourite, not a value bet.
Frosinone vs Torino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Frosinone vs Torino
| Probability | Frosinone | Draw | Torino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 25.3% | 36.4% |
| Market | 42.0% | 25.3% | 32.7% |
| Final | 41.1% | 25.3% | 33.6% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.0% | +0.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.4% per unit staked (our 41.1% × 2.30 − 1).
Frosinone vs Torino match preview
Frosinone hosts Torino in a Serie A matchup where the probabilities suggest a closely contested game. Frosinone has a 39% chance of winning, while Torino stands at 36%, with a 25% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Frosinone, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring affair, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Frosinone has recorded two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches, while Torino has been more consistent with four wins, a draw, and a loss in the same period. The expected goals for Frosinone is 1.85, slightly ahead of Torino's 1.79, indicating a balanced encounter. The confidence grade for this forecast is A.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Frosinone and Torino expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
Frosinone and Torino attack and defence ratings
Frosinone
Torino
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Frosinone vs Torino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 41.1% | 2.43 | -0.9% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 41.1% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Torino | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% |
| No | 28.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Frosinone win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Frosinone vs Torino stats
Frosinone and Torino recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Frosinone and Torino season so far
Frosinone record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Torino record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Frosinone vs Torino head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-21 | Torino | Frosinone | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Frosinone | Torino | Serie A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Frosinone vs Torino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 25.3%, away 32.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.90 | 3.11 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.78 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.84 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |