Torino
vs
Monza
Garuda Lions Prediction: Torino
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Torino vs Monza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torino vs Monza
| Probability | Torino | Draw | Monza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 27.5% | 31.8% |
| Market | 44.9% | 27.7% | 27.3% |
| Final | 43.9% | 27.7% | 28.5% |
| Edge | -4.2% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Torino vs Monza match preview
Torino and Monza are set to face off in Serie A, with Torino holding a 44% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Monza victory are at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Torino, with an expected goals tally of 1.70 for Torino and 1.49 for Monza.
Recent form shows Torino with two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Monza has one win, two losses, a draw, and two victories in the same span. Historically, Torino has had the upper hand in their last eight encounters, securing four wins, three draws, and only one loss to Monza. The model indicates a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torino and Monza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Torino and Monza attack and defence ratings
Torino
Monza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Torino vs Monza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 43.9% | 2.28 | -4.2% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 43.9% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Monza | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% |
| No | 34.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Torino win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Torino vs Monza stats
Torino and Monza recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Torino and Monza season so far
Torino record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Monza record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Torino vs Monza head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Torino | Monza | Coppa Italia | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Monza | Torino | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Torino | Monza | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Torino | Monza | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Monza | Torino | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-07 | Torino | Monza | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-28 | Monza | Torino | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2022-08-13 | Monza | Torino | Serie A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Torino vs Monza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 27.7%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.62 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.52 | 3.54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.34 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.13 | 3.21 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .