Somalia
vs
Ivory Coast
0 – 2 Full time
| 44′ | Sakariya Hassan | ||
| 45′ | Faysal OmarMohamud Ali Mohamed | ||
| 65′ | Sepe Elye WahiRayan Fofana | ||
| 65′ | Nicolas PépéBazoumana Touré | ||
| 65′ | Christ Inao OulaïPatrick Zabi | ||
| 69′ | I. AbatariIlyas Akram | ||
| 79′ | Patrick Zabi | ||
| 83′ | Franck KessiéYann Gboho | ||
| 89′ | Yann Gboho | ||
| 90′ | Bazoumana Touré |
Match stats
| 1 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 26 | Possession % | 74 |
| 0 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 5 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 122 | Accurate passes | 591 |
Somalia vs Ivory Coast overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Somalia vs Ivory Coast
| Probability | Somalia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.5% | 22.5% | 70.0% |
| Market | 3.1% | 8.4% | 88.5% |
| Final | 4.2% | 11.9% | 83.9% |
| Edge | +4.4% | +14.1% | -18.4% |
Why Ivory Coast
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.45.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Somalia and Ivory Coast expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Somalia and Ivory Coast attack and defence ratings
Somalia
Ivory Coast
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Somalia vs Ivory Coast: result vs prediction
Somalia 0 – 2 Ivory Coast
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Somalia vs Ivory Coast markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ivory Coast | 83.9% | 1.19 | -18.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ivory Coast win | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Somalia | 4.2% |
| Draw | 11.9% | |
| Ivory Coast | 83.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.7% |
| No | 69.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 16.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 95.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ivory Coast win | 41.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 31.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.2% |
| 0-2 | 17.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Somalia vs Ivory Coast stats
Somalia and Ivory Coast recent form
| Somalia |
LDDLLL |
| Ivory Coast |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Somalia vs Ivory Coast head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Somalia vs Ivory Coast odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 3.1%, draw 8.4%, away 88.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 27.00 | 12.00 | 1.04 |
| Bet365 | 29.00 | 10.00 | 1.07 |
| BetVictor | 23.00 | 10.00 | 1.05 |
| Betano | 40.00 | 8.75 | 1.06 |
| Betfair | 31.00 | 12.00 | 1.04 |
| Marathonbet | 26.00 | 12.00 | 1.04 |
| Pinnacle | 30.30 | 12.21 | 1.04 |
| William Hill | 34.00 | 10.00 | 1.06 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .