Aston Villa
vs
Viking
3 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Ross Barkley | ||
| 37′ | Emiliano Buendía | ||
| 62′ | Henrik Heggheim | ||
| 63′ | Tobias MoiHenrik Bjørdal | ||
| 63′ | Erik BotheimSimen Kvia Egeskog | ||
| 70′ | Ross BarkleyLeon Goretzka | ||
| 70′ | Nicolas JacksonTammy Abraham | ||
| 70′ | João GomesMatty Cash | ||
| 72′ | Ibrahim MbayeAlejandro Garnacho | ||
| 75′ | Alysson Edward Franco da RochaGeorge Hemmings | ||
| 75′ | Jesper DalandAmin Cosic | ||
| 75′ | Zlatko TripićVetle Auklend | ||
| 84′ | Peter Christiansen | ||
| 86′ | Herman HaugenEssien Bassey |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 8 |
| 471 | Accurate passes | 377 |
Aston Villa vs Viking overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aston Villa vs Viking
| Probability | Aston Villa | Draw | Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.4% | 21.8% | 30.8% |
| Market | 76.7% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Final | 69.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| Edge | -7.3% | +1.8% | +5.5% |
Why Aston Villa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.77.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aston Villa and Viking expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Aston Villa and Viking attack and defence ratings
Aston Villa
Viking
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aston Villa vs Viking: result vs prediction
Aston Villa 3 – 1 Viking
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Aston Villa vs Viking markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 69.4% | 1.44 | -7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 69.4% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| Viking | 14.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aston Villa win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Aston Villa vs Viking stats
Aston Villa and Viking recent form
| Aston Villa |
WWDWWL |
| Viking |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aston Villa vs Viking head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Aston Villa vs Viking odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.7%, draw 14.6%, away 8.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 7.14 | 12.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 6.60 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.27 | 6.80 | 9.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 6.75 | 12.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 6.47 | 10.28 |
| SBO | 1.25 | 6.38 | 8.87 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .