Aston Villa
vs
Viking
Garuda Lions Prediction: Viking
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Aston Villa vs Viking overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aston Villa vs Viking
| Probability | Aston Villa | Draw | Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.9% | 23.3% | 47.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.9% | 23.3% | 47.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viking
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Aston Villa vs Viking match preview
Aston Villa faces Viking in the UEFA Champions League with a matchup that sees the home side with a 29% probability of winning, while Viking holds a stronger 48% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2 in favor of Viking, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.54 for Aston Villa and 2.01 for Viking.
Both teams have shown offensive capability, with a 69% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score. Aston Villa's recent form includes two wins, a loss, a draw, and another loss, while Viking comes in with three wins, a loss, a draw, and another win. The confidence grade for this match is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aston Villa and Viking expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Aston Villa and Viking attack and defence ratings
Aston Villa
Viking
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lille v Galatasaray — match page
- Como vs Manchester United — team news & stats
- Bayern Munich v Arsenal — match page
- Sporting CP vs Lask Linz — team news & stats
- Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid v RasenBallsport Leipzig — match page
- Real Betis vs Feyenoord — team news & stats
- Club Brugge KV vs Lens
Before and after this match
Aston Villa vs Viking markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 28.9% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Viking | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% |
| No | 31.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Aston Villa vs Viking stats
Aston Villa and Viking recent form
| Aston Villa |
WWLWDL |
| Viking |
WWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.