Inter
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shakhtar Donetsk
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 26.6% | 37.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.2% | 26.6% | 37.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk match preview
Inter faces Shakhtar Donetsk in a UEFA Champions League clash with closely matched probabilities, as Inter is given a 36% chance to win, while Shakhtar Donetsk stands at 37%. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Shakhtar, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a 61% probability, and the forecast indicates a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
In terms of recent form, Inter has recorded a draw followed by three wins and a loss, while Shakhtar Donetsk has achieved three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five matches. The expected goals are almost equal, with Inter at 1.49 and Shakhtar Donetsk at 1.51, highlighting a competitive encounter ahead. The confidence grade for this match is B.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk attack and defence ratings
Inter
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 36.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shakhtar Donetsk win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk stats
Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk recent form
| Inter |
DWLWWW |
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.