Kauno Žalgiris
vs
Brann
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kauno Žalgiris
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann
| Probability | Kauno Žalgiris | Draw | Brann |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 24.8% | 21.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.0% | 24.8% | 21.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kauno Žalgiris
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann match preview
Kauno Žalgiris faces Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League with a 54% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Kauno Žalgiris stand at 1.85, while Brann is projected to score 1.09. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Kauno Žalgiris has recorded four wins, one loss, and one draw in their last six matches, while Brann has three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same timeframe. The model indicates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kauno Žalgiris and Brann expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Kauno Žalgiris and Brann attack and defence ratings
Kauno Žalgiris
Brann
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats
- Getafe vs FC Lugano — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos vs Riga
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
Before and after this match
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 54.0% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Brann | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kauno Žalgiris win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann stats
Kauno Žalgiris and Brann recent form
| Kauno Žalgiris |
WLWWWD |
| Brann |
LWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kauno Žalgiris and Brann season so far
Brann record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.