UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann

1 – 4 Full time

7′N. Castro
12′Renan Oliveira
25′N. Holm
36′Ivan Fiolić
37′Léo Ribeiro
40′N. Holm
42′Fabien Ourega
46′R. LekiatasA. Hernandez
46′I. FiolicV. Slivka
46′Leo RibeiroL. Krekovic
53′Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor
63′F. OuregaM. Burba
68′Eggert Aron Guðmundsson
68′S. MagnussonK. Eriksen
75′J. TorsvikT. Pedersen
75′J. SoltvedtV. Dragsnes
82′Renan OliveiraG. Debeljuh
85′N. Holm
88′E. GudmundssonB. Finne
88′N. CastroJ. Laegreid
90′Aldayr Hernández

National Football Academy, KaunasReferee: P. Ilic

Kauno Žalgiris 29%
Draw 24%
Brann 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 8
33 Possession % 67
1 Corners 4
12 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 1
256 Accurate passes 617

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKauno ŽalgirisDrawBrann
Model52.4%25.3%22.4%
Market21.0%23.6%55.5%
Final28.8%24.0%47.2%
Edge+7.9%+0.4%-8.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kauno Žalgiris ↓ / Brann → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Kauno Žalgiris and Brann expected goals

Kauno Žalgiris 1.80
Brann 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.92

Kauno Žalgiris and Brann attack and defence ratings

Kauno Žalgiris

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Brann

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: result vs prediction

Kauno Žalgiris 1 – 4 Brann

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brann 47.2% 2.12 -8.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.5% 1.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kauno Žalgiris28.8%
Draw24.0%
Brann47.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.0%
Under 2.544.0%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.8%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)71.2%
Handicap -1Brann win9.0%
Push (exactly one goal)13.5%
Loss77.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-19.8%
2-08.8%

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann stats

Kauno Žalgiris and Brann recent form

newest first
Kauno Žalgiris WLWLWW
Brann LWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kauno Žalgiris and Brann going into this match

league record before kick-off

Brann record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.0%, draw 23.6%, away 55.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.56 4.20 1.73
Bet365 4.75 3.80 1.70
BetVictor 4.50 3.90 1.67
Betano 4.70 4.05 1.78
Betfair 4.50 4.00 1.70
Dafabet 4.60 4.00 1.74
Marathonbet 4.40 4.05 1.67
Pinnacle 4.34 4.21 1.74
SBO 3.94 3.39 1.67
William Hill 4.33 3.90 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.50 ▲ +0.28
X 4.00 ▲ +0.16
2 1.70 ▼ -0.04

8 snapshots recorded, from .