Celje
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
2 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | Sota Kitano | ||
| 32′ | Artemijus Tutyskinas | ||
| 35′ | Damir Redzic | ||
| 42′ | Pijus Sirvys | ||
| 45′ | Yorbe VertessenJesper Lindstrom | ||
| 45′ | Umut Deger TohumcuBartosz Mazurek | ||
| 46′ | Jesper Lindstrom | ||
| 50′ | Blaž Kramer | ||
| 60′ | Veton TushaYaya Dukuly | ||
| 65′ | Sota KitanoGaoussou Diakité | ||
| 81′ | Benjamin VerbičA. Kučys | ||
| 81′ | Pijus SirvysŽan Žužek | ||
| 83′ | Damir RedzicFrans Kratzig | ||
| 90′ | A. Kučys | ||
| 90′ | Bartosz Mazurek | ||
| 90′ | Mario KvesićDarko Hrka |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 439 | Accurate passes | 437 |
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg
| Probability | Celje | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.3% | 29.5% | 54.2% |
| Market | 16.1% | 21.6% | 62.4% |
| Final | 16.1% | 23.5% | 60.3% |
| Edge | +0.0% | +2.0% | -2.0% |
Why Red Bull Salzburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celje and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Celje and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings
Celje
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction
Celje 2 – 2 Red Bull Salzburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
Before and after this match
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 60.3% | 1.66 | -2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 16.1% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 60.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.2% |
| No | 61.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.4% |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-1 | 12.9% |
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg stats
Celje and Red Bull Salzburg recent form
| Celje |
DLWDLL |
| Red Bull Salzburg |
WLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celje and Red Bull Salzburg going into this match
Red Bull Salzburg record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.1%, draw 21.6%, away 62.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.88 | 4.51 | 1.56 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.40 | 1.50 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 5.80 | 4.45 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | 5.98 | 4.64 | 1.53 |
| SBO | 4.94 | 3.86 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .