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UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

Hoffenheim vs Lyon

3 – 0 Full time

9′Mats Rots
31′Steeve KangoNoham Kamara
45′Andrej Kramarić
45′Felix BacherMoussa Niakhaté
45′Tanner TessmannTyler Morton
49′Adam Daghim
60′Mads BidstrupCorentin Tolisso
61′Adam DaghimWouter Burger
61′Vladimír CoufalValentin Gendrey
65′Bambasé ContéAdam Hložek
72′Wouter Burger
75′Kail BoudacheErnest Nuamah
77′Mats RotsKoki Machida
78′Tim LemperleFisnik Asllani
81′Ozan Kabak
81′Christian Ilzer
83′Adam Hložek
90′Moussa Niakhaté

Prezero Arena, SinsheimReferee: Halil Umut Meler

Hoffenheim 45%
Draw 23%
Lyon 32%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
43 Possession % 57
11 Corners 9
20 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
316 Accurate passes 423

Hoffenheim vs Lyon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim vs Lyon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHoffenheimDrawLyon
Model42.1%23.0%35.0%
Market45.8%23.6%30.6%
Final44.8%23.4%31.7%
Edge-0.9%-0.2%+1.1%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hoffenheim ↓ / Lyon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Hoffenheim and Lyon expected goals

Hoffenheim 1.96
Lyon 1.80

Total expected goals: 3.76

Hoffenheim and Lyon attack and defence ratings

Hoffenheim

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Lyon

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hoffenheim vs Lyon: result vs prediction

Hoffenheim 3 – 0 Lyon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Hoffenheim vs Lyon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hoffenheim 44.8% 2.23 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.6% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.6% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.2% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hoffenheim44.8%
Draw23.4%
Lyon31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.6%
Under 2.527.4%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)55.2%
Handicap -1Hoffenheim win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss58.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.0%
2-18.1%
1-27.3%

Hoffenheim vs Lyon stats

Hoffenheim and Lyon recent form

newest first
Hoffenheim WLLLLW
Lyon WWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hoffenheim vs Lyon head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Hoffenheim wins 3Draws 0Lyon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-11-07HoffenheimLyonUEFA Europa League2-2
2018-11-07LyonHoffenheimUEFA Champions League2-2
2018-10-23HoffenheimLyonUEFA Champions League3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hoffenheim vs Lyon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 23.6%, away 30.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 4.05 3.24
Bet365 2.05 4.20 3.10
BetVictor 2.05 3.90 3.10
Betano 2.12 4.10 3.25
Betfair 2.00 4.00 3.10
Dafabet 2.12 4.00 3.10
Marathonbet 2.10 4.05 3.24
Pinnacle 2.11 4.11 3.16
SBO 2.01 3.30 2.86
William Hill 2.05 3.80 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.08 ▲ +0.10
X 4.03 ▲ +0.11
2 3.10 ▼ -0.35

12 snapshots recorded, from .