Lillestrom
vs
Real Sociedad
0 – 6 Full time
| 25′ | Sergio Gómez | ||
| 27′ | Sergio Gómez | ||
| 30′ | Mamadou Sarr | ||
| 33′ | Luka Sučić | ||
| 45′ | Daniel BassiEric Kitolano | ||
| 45′ | Mamadou SarrJon Pacheco | ||
| 52′ | Ruben Gabrielsen | ||
| 56′ | Jon Gorrotxategi | ||
| 58′ | Takefusa KuboPablo Marin | ||
| 58′ | Mikel OyarzabalOrri Steinn Óskarsson | ||
| 64′ | Orri Steinn Óskarsson | ||
| 66′ | Jon GorrotxategiBenat Turrientes | ||
| 72′ | Sturla OttesenLars Ranger | ||
| 72′ | Felix VáFredrik Gulbrandsen | ||
| 72′ | Luka Sučić | ||
| 73′ | Luka SučićArsen Zakharyan | ||
| 80′ | Arsen Zakharyan | ||
| 83′ | Thomas Lehne OlsenGustav Nordh | ||
| 88′ | Gustav Kjolstad NyheimHenrik Molvaer Melland |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 424 | Accurate passes | 558 |
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad
| Probability | Lillestrom | Draw | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.6% | 20.6% | 17.7% |
| Market | 14.9% | 19.1% | 66.0% |
| Final | 26.6% | 19.5% | 54.0% |
| Edge | +11.7% | +0.4% | -12.1% |
Why Real Sociedad
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lillestrom and Real Sociedad expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Lillestrom and Real Sociedad attack and defence ratings
Lillestrom
Real Sociedad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad: result vs prediction
Lillestrom 0 – 6 Real Sociedad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
Before and after this match
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 54.0% | 1.85 | -12.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 26.6% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Real Sociedad | 54.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% |
| No | 35.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Sociedad win | 7.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.7% | |
| Loss | 82.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad stats
Lillestrom and Real Sociedad recent form
| Lillestrom |
WDDWLL |
| Real Sociedad |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.9%, draw 19.1%, away 66.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.54 | 5.12 | 1.46 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 5.00 | 1.45 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 5.00 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 6.45 | 5.05 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 6.39 | 5.19 | 1.45 |
| SBO | 5.22 | 3.93 | 1.42 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .