NEC Nijmegen
vs
Levski Sofia
1 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | Noe Lebreton | ||
| 35′ | Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno | ||
| 62′ | David KussoArmstrong Oko-Flex | ||
| 62′ | Mehdi MoubarikGasper Trdin | ||
| 64′ | Tjaronn Chery | ||
| 75′ | Perr SchuursAhmetcan Kaplan | ||
| 75′ | Marko GrujićMazire Soula | ||
| 75′ | Francisco Everton Mota de CastroJuan Esteban Perea Sanchez | ||
| 84′ | Dušan TadićWillum Thor Willumsson | ||
| 84′ | Clement BischoffDennis Geiger | ||
| 90′ | Noe LebretonAlmugera Kabar | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel·BrasYassin Moslih | ||
| 90′ | Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoÁlex Centelles |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 354 | Accurate passes | 362 |
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia
| Probability | NEC Nijmegen | Draw | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.4% | 25.5% | 58.2% |
| Market | 50.4% | 25.5% | 24.1% |
| Final | 41.9% | 25.5% | 32.6% |
| Edge | -8.5% | -0.0% | +8.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia attack and defence ratings
NEC Nijmegen
Levski Sofia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia: result vs prediction
NEC Nijmegen 1 – 1 Levski Sofia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEC Nijmegen | 41.9% | 2.39 | -8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEC Nijmegen | 41.9% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Levski Sofia | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | NEC Nijmegen win | 5.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.7% | |
| Loss | 84.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.1% | |
| 0-2 | 11.6% |
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia stats
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia recent form
| NEC Nijmegen |
DDLLDL |
| Levski Sofia |
WLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 25.5%, away 24.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.80 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.75 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.76 | 4.00 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.48 | 3.74 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .