Cape Verde Islands
vs
Rwanda
1 – 2 Full time
| 24′ | Bonheur Mugisha | ||
| 37′ | Kevin Pina | ||
| 40′ | Gilson Benchimol | ||
| 45′ | Claude Niyomugabo | ||
| 45′ | Abeddy BiramahireElie Tatou Iradukunda | ||
| 51′ | Joy Lance Mickels | ||
| 52′ | Elie Tatou Iradukunda | ||
| 57′ | Elie Tatou Iradukunda | ||
| 58′ | A. Mutsinzi | ||
| 62′ | Ayoni SantosNuno Da Costa | ||
| 62′ | José TavaresJovane Cabral | ||
| 69′ | Gilbert MugishaJojea Kwizera | ||
| 69′ | Leroy-Jacques MickelsNoam Emeran | ||
| 75′ | Ryan MendesDailon Livramento | ||
| 75′ | Telmo ArcanjoJamiro Monteiro | ||
| 85′ | Gilson BenchimolGarry Rodrigues | ||
| 90′ | Joy Lance MickelsI. Nshuti | ||
| 90′ | Bonheur MugishaKevin Muhire |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 454 | Accurate passes | 157 |
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda
| Probability | Cape Verde Islands | Draw | Rwanda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.7% | 28.0% | 17.3% |
| Market | 64.0% | 23.8% | 12.2% |
| Final | 61.7% | 24.8% | 13.5% |
| Edge | -9.3% | +4.2% | +5.1% |
Why Cape Verde Islands
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.81.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cape Verde Islands and Rwanda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Cape Verde Islands and Rwanda attack and defence ratings
Cape Verde Islands
Rwanda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda: result vs prediction
Cape Verde Islands 1 – 2 Rwanda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cape Verde Islands | 61.7% | 1.62 | -9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cape Verde Islands | 61.7% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Rwanda | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cape Verde Islands win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 49.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.9% |
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda stats
Cape Verde Islands and Rwanda recent form
| Cape Verde Islands |
LLDDDW |
| Rwanda |
WLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-17 | Rwanda | Cape Verde Islands | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 0-0 |
| 2020-11-12 | Cape Verde Islands | Rwanda | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.0%, draw 23.8%, away 12.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 3.98 | 7.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.80 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 3.80 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 3.80 | 7.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 3.98 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 3.92 | 8.14 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 3.70 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .