Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Full time ·Group Stage - 2

Gabon vs Niger

2 – 0 Full time

35′Kairou Amoustapha
45′Denis Bouanga
45′Youssouf Oumarou
45′Amadou MoutariAmadou Wonkoye
45′André PokoTeddy Andami Averlant
53′Rody Junior Effaghe
68′Shavy BabickaHenrick Do Marcolino
71′Kairou AmoustaphaVictorien Adebayor
75′Jérémy OyonoAnthony Oyono
77′Denis Bouanga
81′O. BadamassiMamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo
82′Rody Junior EffaghePatrick Orphe Mbina

Stade de Franceville, FrancevilleReferee: Issa Sy

Gabon 54%
Draw 25%
Niger 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 1
59 Possession % 41
3 Corners 8
20 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 4
1 Saves 1
388 Accurate passes 259

Gabon vs Niger overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gabon vs Niger

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGabonDrawNiger
Model44.4%22.4%33.3%
Market57.0%26.4%16.6%
Final53.8%25.4%20.7%
Edge-12.6%-4.1%+16.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Gabon

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.74.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gabon ↓ / Niger → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Gabon and Niger expected goals

Gabon 2.09
Niger 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.83

Gabon and Niger attack and defence ratings

Gabon

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Niger

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gabon vs Niger: result vs prediction

Gabon 2 – 0 Niger

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Before and after this match

Gabon vs Niger markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gabon 53.8% 1.86 -12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.5% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.9% 1.35 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gabon53.8%
Draw25.4%
Niger20.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.5%
Under 2.525.5%
Both teams to scoreYes73.9%
No26.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.3%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.2%
Handicap -1Gabon win26.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.5%
2-18.0%
2-27.2%

Gabon vs Niger stats

Gabon and Niger recent form

newest first
Gabon LLLLLW
Niger WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gabon vs Niger head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Gabon wins 0Draws 1Niger wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-06GabonNigerFriendlies3-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gabon vs Niger odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 26.4%, away 16.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.54 5.57
Bet365 1.60 3.50 5.25
BetVictor 1.62 3.40 5.50
Betano 1.67 3.45 5.10
Betfair 1.60 3.50 5.00
Marathonbet 1.60 3.54 5.60
Pinnacle 1.63 3.35 6.08
SBO 1.46 3.31 5.22
William Hill 1.60 3.30 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▲ +0.06
X 3.45 ▼ -0.15
2 5.50 ▼ -0.50

3 snapshots recorded, from .