SC Paderborn 07
vs
VfB Stuttgart
0 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | Jamie Leweling | ||
| 37′ | Laurin Curda | ||
| 41′ | Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot | ||
| 45′ | Angelo StillerAtakan Karazor | ||
| 58′ | Deniz ZeitlerStefano Marino | ||
| 62′ | Lorenz AssignonChris Führich | ||
| 62′ | Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotLuca Jaquez | ||
| 68′ | Marvin PieringerSteffen Tigges | ||
| 68′ | Ruben MüllerRaphael Obermair | ||
| 75′ | Jonah StickerTjark Scheller | ||
| 75′ | Jano ter HorstMattes Hansen | ||
| 85′ | Raphael Obermair | ||
| 90′ | Deniz Undav | ||
| 90′ | Deniz UndavDženan Pejčinović |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 246 | Accurate passes | 490 |
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
| Probability | SC Paderborn 07 | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.0% | 13.5% | 78.5% |
| Market | 18.3% | 21.5% | 60.2% |
| Final | 15.7% | 19.5% | 64.8% |
| Edge | -2.6% | -2.0% | +4.6% |
Why VfB Stuttgart
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.08 vs 0.97.
- The market prices VfB Stuttgart below our published probability: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.04
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart attack and defence ratings
SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: result vs prediction
SC Paderborn 07 0 – 1 VfB Stuttgart
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Bochum v Mainz 05 — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg
- Rot-Weiß Essen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — match page
- Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC — team news & stats
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
- FC Cologne vs Union Berlin — team news & stats
- SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt
Before and after this match
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 64.8% | 1.54 | +4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | VfB Stuttgart win | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 15.7% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 64.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% |
| No | 40.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | VfB Stuttgart win | 60.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 21.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 8.5% |
| 0-2 | 8.3% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart stats
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart recent form
| SC Paderborn 07 |
WDLWLL |
| VfB Stuttgart |
LDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 0-2 |
| 2023-01-31 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal | 1-2 |
| 2015-05-23 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2014-12-20 | VfB Stuttgart | SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 21.5%, away 60.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.06 | 4.33 | 1.56 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.65 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
| Marathonbet | 5.15 | 4.33 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | 5.36 | 4.53 | 1.57 |
| SBO | 4.81 | 4.20 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .