England Football Predictions

Model-driven probabilities for England: 6 competitions covered, 92 clubs in the current fixture window. The latest season of each covered league has averaged 3.15 goals per match over 1,283 played games.

6competitions 92teams in window 60fixtures in window

Top model opportunities in England

picks with an analysis page first, then largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick

The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Goals per match
3.15
mean, latest season of each covered league
Over 2.5 goals
61%
of 1,283 played matches
Both teams scored
58%
of 1,283 played matches
Home wins
45%
latest season of each covered league

Frequencies from played matches across England's covered competitions β€” a record of what happened, not a prediction.

England competitions

Upcoming fixtures in England

60 fixtures
Premier League 11 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
ArsenalvLeeds 1 High 1.46 5.17 8.29 β†’
ChelseavBournemouth 1 High 1.76 4.42 4.84 β†’
IpswichvFulham 2 Medium 2.90 3.70 2.60 β†’
Aston VillavBrentford 1 High 2.74 3.71 2.73 β†’
SunderlandvBrighton 2 High 3.18 3.67 2.42 β†’
Manchester UnitedvTottenham 1 High 1.79 4.41 4.67 β†’
Crystal PalacevNottingham Forest 1 High 2.80 3.54 2.78 β†’
Hull CityvEverton 2 Medium 3.85 3.59 2.16 β†’
LiverpoolvManchester City 2 High 2.91 3.88 2.51 β†’
CoventryvNewcastle United 2 Medium 3.50 3.81 2.21 β†’
EvertonvChelsea 1 High 2.98 3.88 2.46
Championship 24 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
West BromvBirmingham 1 Low 2.53 3.49 3.14 β†’
SwanseavNorwich 1 Low 2.49 3.67 3.08 β†’
CharltonvBristol City 2 Low 3.35 3.49 2.41 β†’
WatfordvBurnley 2 Low 3.19 3.69 2.40 β†’
PrestonvMillwall 2 Low 2.98 3.60 2.58 β†’
Sheffield UtdvLincoln 1 Low 2.22 3.62 3.65 β†’
BlackburnvCardiff 2 Low 2.85 3.74 2.62 β†’
BoltonvStoke City 2 Low 2.90 3.55 2.68 β†’
DerbyvWrexham 1 Low 2.88 3.49 2.73 β†’
MiddlesbroughvWolverhampton Wanderers 1 Low 2.36 3.90 3.13 β†’
SouthamptonvPortsmouth 1 Low 1.71 4.29 5.47 β†’
Wolverhampton WanderersvBolton 1 Low 1.49 5.12 7.51 β†’
CardiffvWatford 1 Low 1.95 4.22 4.01 β†’
BurnleyvCharlton 1 Low 1.82 4.04 4.95 β†’
Bristol CityvBlackburn 1 Low 2.09 3.79 3.90 β†’
MillwallvSwansea 1 Low 2.53 3.57 3.08 β†’
WrexhamvWest Brom 1 Low 2.55 3.51 3.10 β†’
BirminghamvPreston 1 Low 1.75 4.14 5.31 β†’
Stoke CityvMiddlesbrough 2 Low 3.84 3.89 2.07 β†’
NorwichvSouthampton 2 Low β€” β€” β€” β†’
QPRvDerby 1 Low β€” β€” β€” β†’
PortsmouthvSheffield Utd 1 Low β€” β€” β€” β†’
LincolnvWest Ham 2 Low β€” β€” β€” β†’
BurnleyvWolverhampton Wanderers 2 Low β€” β€” β€” β†’
League One 13 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
PlymouthvAFC Wimbledon 1 Low 1.60 4.63 6.22 β†’
Notts CountyvOxford United 2 Low 2.68 3.64 2.85 β†’
HuddersfieldvSheffield Wednesday 1 Low 1.84 4.23 4.53 β†’
LeicestervPeterborough 1 Low 1.70 4.67 5.09 β†’
BradfordvLeyton Orient 1 Low 1.82 3.96 5.03 β†’
Milton Keynes DonsvReading 2 Low 2.76 3.80 2.67 β†’
DoncastervBurton Albion 1 Low 1.79 4.19 4.91 β†’
WycombevLuton 2 Low 2.79 3.82 2.63 β†’
StevenagevWigan 1 Low 2.25 3.45 3.75 β†’
Cambridge UnitedvBlackpool 1 Low 2.20 3.80 3.54 β†’
Mansfield TownvBromley 1 Low 1.88 4.05 4.51 β†’
Stockport CountyvBarnsley 1 Low 1.53 5.21 6.54 β†’
Mansfield TownvOxford United 2 Low 2.75 3.72 2.72 β†’
League Two 12 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
OldhamvAccrington ST 1 Low 1.77 4.14 5.16 β†’
Swindon TownvCrewe 2 Low 2.78 3.66 2.73 β†’
RotherhamvGillingham 1 Low 2.04 3.70 4.18 β†’
Bristol RoversvBarnet 1 Low 2.40 3.73 3.17 β†’
Fleetwood TownvWalsall 1 Low 2.50 3.61 3.09 β†’
Port ValevGrimsby 2 Low 2.72 3.47 2.91 β†’
ShrewsburyvExeter City 1 Low 2.45 3.47 3.29 β†’
Crawley TownvChesterfield 2 Low 5.03 4.44 1.74 β†’
Newport CountyvColchester 1 Low 2.79 3.70 2.69 β†’
CheltenhamvSalford City 2 Low 4.07 4.02 1.98 β†’
TranmerevRochdale 1 Low 2.14 3.71 3.79 β†’
YorkvNorthampton 1 Low 1.76 4.08 5.34 β†’

England recent results

predicted vs actual
Championship 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
West HamvQPR 1–1 1βœ— Low β†’
League Two 5 matches
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Salford CityvFleetwood Town 1–0 1βœ“ Low β†’
GrimsbyvShrewsbury 1–2 1βœ— Low β†’
Exeter CityvRotherham 1–0 1βœ“ Low β†’
CrewevBristol Rovers 3–1 2βœ— Low β†’
Accrington STvCheltenham 2–0 1βœ“ Low β†’
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